Wednesday, December 31, 2008

Promise Turned to Dissappointment in 2008. Bring on 2009!

As the snow flies outside my windows for the last time in 2008, I wanted to grab a few moments to reflect on this past year, and perhaps look forward to 2009. This year really started out with such tremendous promise, and is ending, at least for me, with some serious disappointment. 

At the start of 2008, I was becoming consumed by the primary runoffs, and encouraged as I saw a man, in Gov. Mike Huckabee, who gave me great hope that many of my perspectives might be once again represented at the highest level of government. First catching my attention in the debates, then remembering the good things I had heard about him in years past (covenant marriage, his "tax me more" stunt, among others), the more I explored and learned, the more enthusiastic I became. I started donating - twenty bucks here; fifty if I could spare it, and even volunteered to be a county coordinator! The embers of my political fire reignited, I started reaching out to my local political organizations, to see what could be done. I started a journal again, both as a source of encouragement, and a measure of progress. I even started this blog after having a couple of articles posted on Huck's national blog.

Personally, on the business side of life, leads for some big projects were coming in greater quantity than they had ever in the past. It was looking to be a really good year!Heck, we even got the opportunity later in the spring to move from the wilds of Whately, MA on down to Newington, CT, and back to civilization - so my wife was happy too!

The first disappointment of the year came when big voices on the Right started trashing my candidate. Call me naive, but I really thought that these folks I'd been listening to, and reading opinions from for years would see in Huckabee what I saw. To my chagrin however, they piled on with the mainstream media in their criticisms, and dismissals. It was eye-opening to see how quickly social conservatives, and the so-called "religious right" was being thrown under the bus, even by those who professed to lead and defend our interests! I'll never hear Ingraham, Hannity, Limbaugh, Carr, or read the National Review the same again. I still respect their voices in our movement, but know that when push comes to shove, people who share my views are the ones who're going to be shoved aside.

Of course this first disappointment resulted in a second, even greater one. Somehow, our party had chosen John McCain as it's nominee. With all these great candidates...John McCain?!? It makes me really want to re-evaluate the primary process, that's for sure. Could we have chosen a weaker candidate? The race for the presidency was sealed, and nothing, not even the breath of fresh air swept in by Sarah Palin could turn that candidacy around. 

It frankly, seems all down hill from there. The unstoppable force of Barack Obama swept over the immovable object of the Clintons, everwhelming even their formidable influence. Not even "Operation Chaos" could stop that train. Slow it perhaps, but not stop it.

What happened next, is still in my mind like a bad nightmare I keep hoping to awake from. Seems as if President Bush just quit, and caved to the Fed Chairman and Treasury Secretary. The bailout debacle was beginning. Just talking about this subject, or even thinking about it, is frankly uncomfortable now. How?!? Why?!? They're going to do what?!? Oh, now they'll vote for it after $150 billion in pork was added?!? It's simply unfathomable.

Then came the election. Historic? In a superficial way. Nevermind his lack of experience, or who he calls "friend", or his big government, wealth redistribution views, or how he doesn't want his daughters"punished" with a baby...he's "African-American". So tell me how that's not racist?

Now the year is ending with far-reaching economic pull back, if not utter collapse. Projects are being cancelled. Industries are struggling. Capital is being frozen. Terrorists have struck India. Massive corruption is being exposed in Minnesota and Illinois. War is breaking out between Israel and Hamas. And that doesn't cover it all.

The New Year seems an empty slate. It's as if anything, good or bad, could happen in 2009. I have no prognostications for this new year, nor the hope I felt at this time last year. No, I will cling to my faith in God above, and in Jesus to intercede at the Father's throne for his bride. I encourage you to pray with me for family,  friends, our leaders, our countrymen, and for those around the world who seek His face. May God bless you and yours in the New Year!


Saturday, September 27, 2008

Debate, Part I: Missed Opportunity

Reflecting on the 1st Presidential Debate of the fall season, there are certainly several positives to talk about in relation to Sen. McCain's performance. He once again delivered when it came to clear, decisive, leadership attributes; especially on the subjects of government spending, and our strategies in various foreign theaters. Based on the arc of the debate, to my viewpoint, he won the evening.

I don't feel satisfied this morning, though. I feel there was a major missed opportunity in last night's discussion, that quite honestly, neither candidate took a real swing at. The major news story of the past couple weeks - the US Treasury takeover of several financial firms, and the proposed 700 billion dollar bailout of even more financial institutions, wasn't competently discussed by either candidate. This was very disheartening.

The moderator, Jim Lehrer, tee'd the issue up for the candidates; a golden opportunity to grasp hold of an issue of major concern, and really set themselves apart from their rivals by discussing the heinous errors that got us here, and defining the principles we should be concentrating on going forward. Sen. Obama delivered his well-rehearsed four talking points regarding what he and his congressional allies expect to be in any bailout agreement, but failed to adequately explain how we got here (other than "George Bush's eight years of failed policies". yawn.), or give any reassurance about such a bailout's effectiveness, or how and what his administration would do to make sure it wouldn't happen again. His answer fell flat. 

Sen. McCain, with a clear opening to hammer congressional and regulatory oversight, Fannie & Freddie as deeply flawed and corrupt financial institutions doomed to failure, and the asserting of power by the US Treasury Secretary in the takeovers of failing Wall Street firms as constitutionally disturbing, failed to deliver. It was a wide open opportunity to reclaim the mantel of economic and fiscal responsibility, by clearly outlining conservative economic principles, and the risks that improper government interference in the marketplace pose to the stability of the economy. It was an opportunity to put some real distance between himself and the current administration on economic policy, by strongly criticizing the bailout plan, siding with Senators Shelby and DeMint, and reinforcing the conservative ideals of limited government. All we got was a brief mention of his sounding the alarm about Fannie & Freddie a couple years ago, and clarification of his call for the resignation of the SEC chair as a call for accountability. Not bad points, but not seizing the opening he was given. 

The entire arc of this campaign could change drastically, if one of these two candidates could get a firm grasp on the issues at stake, and take a clear and concise leadership position with regard to the current financial situation. The American people would be thrilled to see that someone really "gets it". Being a free-market, limited government conservative, John McCain should have a serious advantage over his rival in this arena. It's a clear opportunity for him to distance himself from the Bush administration, and their questionable bailout plan, especially while his rival and the Democrat Party, it seems at this point, are only too willing to align themselves with it. 

Yes, this debate might be recorded as a "win" in McCain's column, but a win in November is the real goal; and he can't afford to not seize on such glaring opportunities if he hopes to turn this race strongly in his favor, and tally the big win.







Thursday, September 25, 2008

The Current Financial "Crisis" - In Layman's Terms: no bailout necessary

There are many out there trying to understand what's going on in the financial markets, and why the US Treasury Secretary and Federal Reserve Board Chairman are proposing a near trillion dollar bailout for investment bankers. 

To really go back to the beginning, please refer to my previous posting on the history of Fannie and Freddie, for reference.

Now, let's see if I can follow this. 

As politicians tend to do, back in the early nineties, it was decided that expanding homeownership to those who had previously been unqualified for mortgages would be a great way to pander to those Americans who had "slipped through the cracks", and thus legislation was enacted that forced lending institutions to do just that via a strategy of penalization and roadblocks for lenders who didn't comply. It is also my understanding that Fannie Mae lowered the standards of qualification for a mortgage around that time as well.

Following the burst of the tech bubble in the late nineties, the Federal Reserve set off on a series of record interest rate reductions in an attempt to stave off a recession, making the lending/borrowing of money very cheap. 

These actions created an environment in which investors started putting money into real estate, a historically stable market, but in new irresponsible ways.  Homebuilders saturated the market with homes often too expensive for the average buyer. Mortgage brokers in concert with bankers, came up with new and creative ways to extend mortgage privileges with "interest only" and "bubble mortgages". Many of our fellow citizens took on loans they hadn't fully considered the ramifications of, feeling that if creditors were offering it, it must be safe. With interest rates trending downward, adjustable rate mortgages, previously an investment taboo, also appeared attractive to the ignorant, and were being actively marketed by lenders as the smart way to go. As more expensive new homes were built, and new neighborhoods appeared, home values all over towns increased in response. Lenders were marketing "home equity" mortgages, into which huge credit card debts were being buried, all over the place. On the outside, the home market was looking great.

In the meantime, Fannie and Freddie were taking on a tremendous number of these new high-risk mortgages, and cooking the books to make it appear as if they were going to reap tremendous profits, ignoring the tremendous risk they were assuming. Democrat political hacks, like Franklin Raines, Jamie Garelick, and Jim Johnson, as a reward for their loyalty, were being appointed to executive positions yielding huge bonuses nearing 100 million each, based on this chicanery.

Everything was looking great, ...until the foreclosures started rolling in. Folks who should not have been given loans in the first place - surprise - couldn't meet the terms of payment, and unable to sell their homes immediately due to a saturated market, went into foreclosure. This meant banks had properties on their hands that in the past, when it was rare, they would sell at a loss to recoup at least the majority of their money. However, if there is a concentration of foreclosure sales in an area, the property values of all homes in that area are depreciated, setting up a vicious circle. Depreciation means the value of your home might be less than what you owe, meaning you can't sell it at a profit, or even break even. In fact, you wouldn't be able to sell it all unless you have cash on hand to make up the difference, which most people don't, and even if they did, probably wouldn't part with it. This set up a situation wherein even folks who had put down a significant downpayment were now living in properties that were worth less than their current mortgage balance.

(In the Midwest, which I recently left, it was not unusual to have several abandoned homes in a brand new neighborhoods (less than 10 years old), and see several more homes up for sale or rent.) 

As the burden of debt increased for lenders, cash flow was becoming scarce, as the interest rates their creditors extended to them increased because of that debt, the value of their stocks decreased, and their cash was being tied up in assets that were decreasing in value. Fannie and Freddie, who had assumed the bulk of these subprime loans, were on the ropes. If the other banks couldn't unload their bad loans to Freddie and Fannie, their financial viability was at risk. Since Fannie and Freddie were backed up by the US Treasury (see the previous blog entry) these other investment firms saw them as the clearinghouse for bad debt. 

Eventually the markets were saturated with as much bad debt as could be handled, but more was on the way. So these investment bankers, trying to recoup some cash and maintain some liquidity, came up with some creative securities to sell, with these bad mortgages buried in them in such a complex way, that the true value of the security was near impossible to ascertain by the buyer.  Sales of these complex securities exponentially exacerbated the problem.

The collapse of Fannie and Freddie set off a firestorm. With nowhere for the private sector investment bankers to dump off their bad debts to anymore, they realized they were in really big trouble. With their cash tied up in complex bad securities, of unknown negative value, they had to assume the worst, and started looking for a bailout, or a buyout, selling off their remaining assets for pennies on the dollar. 

It is I believe, these complex securities,  into which bad debt was buried, that are the source of the 700 billion dollar figure being bandied about as the necessary amount for a bailout of the financial system. Because the real amount of financial risk is almost too complex to uncover at this point, financiers are vastly overestimating the amount of money needed from the Treasury in order to make sure they can cover their losses, and still have enough cash on hand to rebound into profitability again. The panic over available credit and capital is not helping the situation.

I personally believe there are plenty of financial institutions out there that will be more than happy to pick up assets with real value for pennies on the dollar from these firms that were engaged in risky financial behavior, and that a bailout is not only not necessary, but could serve to lengthen the financial downturn significantly.

In straight economic terms, what we had is a short term of overinflated demand continue long enough for supply to rise to meet it. When the bubble of demand collapsed, as was inevitable, the value of the assets supplied became devalued relative to the size of that collapse. In order to sell off those assets with any margin of profit relative to the new market value established by the corrected demand, those assets would have to be sold at a price not only below market value, but significantly lower than their original sale price at the peak of the demand bubble. 

It is important to note that no money is really "lost", except on paper valuation, until those assets actually change hands. However, because of the foreclosure rates, financiers were having too much of their cash tied up in depreciated assets, which put them in a real cash crunch. They couldn't afford to sit on those assets until their value increased again. Selling off those depreciated assets had their losses piling up. Without influx of cash to lend and invest, after all, they cannot make money.

To stave off collapse, it seems they tried to generate cash by fooling each other into buying each other's bad debts, by burying them in complex securities. This was just a shell game however, and eventually the inevitable collapse came.

All that capital is not lost for good however, as some on the left, who have no undestanding of economics, would have you believe. There are still plenty of companies out there with plenty of capital on hand who see a perfect buying opportunity in front of them. They will have the golden opportunity to snap up a tremendous amount of undervalued assets with intrinsic, "real" value for below market price. They will then be able to turn around and sell those assets that they bought for a steal, at market value, make a nice profit on them, and be overflowing with even more capital that they can reinvest, to make even more money. In other words, the free market will correct itself. People still need homes after all; and last I checked, populations are still growing.

That is in fact what the US Treasury Secretary is counting on. He is looking at this as an opportunity for the US government to fatten it's coffers in just that way. That is why he is promoting this "bailout" as such a positive for the taxpayer. 

What we as Americans have to ask ourselves is whether we want all that capital tied up in the US government to be mismanaged and squandered, or do we want it to be in the private sector, where it can create jobs and wealth not just for political hacks, but for those who work hard enough and smart enough to merit it's rewards?

The free market can never collapse. There can only be a shift of capital from one institution to another, profit from one entity to another. Let's not mire ourselves for years in more New Deal socialist folly, doomed for another collapse, but protect our free market economy. Call your Congressman and oppose any government "bailout".





Thursday, September 18, 2008

Fannie & Freddie in the rearview mirror

In keeping with the theme of this blog, I've posted an article from HNN posted back in December of 2003. While it would have been nice to have an understanding of these institutions before they failed - to therefore avert that failure, it is now too late. Please read it to gain an understanding of how we got to here.

12-08-03

What Are the Origins of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae?

By Rob Alford

Mr. Alford is a student at the University of Washington and an HNN intern.

In recent months, the nation's two largest mortgage finance lenders have come under increasing scrutiny at the hands of Congress, the Justice Department and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The Federal National Mortgage Association, nicknamed Fannie Mae, and the Federal Home Mortgage Corporation, nicknamed Freddie Mac, have operated since 1968 as government sponsored enterprises (GSEs). This means that, although the two companies are privately owned and operated by shareholders, they are protected financially by the support of the Federal Government. These government protections include access to a line of credit through the U.S. Treasury, exemption from state and local income taxes and exemption from SEC oversight. A recent accounting scandal at Freddie Mac that resulted in the replacement of three of the company's top executives has led to mounting concerns over the privileged status these GSEs enjoy in the marketplace.

Fannie Mae was created in 1938 as part of Franklin Delano Roosevelt's New Deal. The collapse of the national housing market in the wake of the Great Depression discouraged private lenders from investing in home loans. Fannie Mae was established in order to provide local banks with federal money to finance home mortgages in an attempt to raise levels of home ownership and the availability of affordable housing.

Initially, Fannie Mae operated like a national savings and loan, allowing local banks to charge low interest rates on mortgages for the benefit of the home buyer. This lead to the development of what is now known as the secondary mortgage market. Within the secondary mortgage market, companies such as Fannie Mae are able to borrow money from foreign investors at low interest rates because of the financial support that they receive from the U.S. Government. It is this ability to borrow at low rates that allows Fannie Mae to provide fixed interest rate mortgages with low down payments to home buyers. Fannie Mae makes a profit from the difference between the interest rates homeowners pay and foreign lenders charge.

For the first thirty years following its inception, Fannie Mae held a veritable monopoly over the secondary mortgage market. In 1968, due to fiscal pressures created by the Vietnam War, Lyndon B. Johnson privatized Fannie Mae in order to remove it from the national budget. At this point, Fannie Mae began operating as a GSE, generating profits for stock holders while enjoying the benefits of exemption from taxation and oversight as well as implied government backing. In order to prevent any further monopolization of the market, a second GSE known as Freddie Mac was created in 1970. Currently, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac control about 90 percent of the nation's secondary mortgage market.

GSEs such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mae, with their combination of private enterprise and public backing have experienced a period of unprecedented financial growth over the past few decades. The current assets of these two companies combine for a total that is 45 percent greater than that of the nation's largest bank.

 

On the other hand, their combined debt is equal to 46 percent of the current national debt. It is this combination of rapid growth and over leveraging that has lead to the current concerns of Congress, the Justice Department and the SEC with regards to the financial practices of these GSEs.

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are the only two Fortune 500 companies that are not required to inform the public about any financial difficulties that they may be having. In the event that there was some sort of financial collapse within either of these companies, U.S. taxpayers could be held responsible for hundreds of billions of dollars in outstanding debts. A recent investigation by the Justice Department and the SEC into the accounting practices at Freddie Mac revealed accounting errors in the amount of 4.5 to 4.7 billion dollars and resulted in the termination of three of the company's top executives. Ongoing investigations by Congress, particular the House Finance Services subcommittee that oversees the activity of GSEs, will determine the future role of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and the secondary mortgage market that they dominate.

Friday, August 29, 2008

What A Knockout!

It's safe to say that the attitude among many conservatives towards the prospect of John McCain becoming the next POTUS has been less than excitement.

Even after the Saddleback Forum hosted by Rick Warren a couple of weeks ago, which artfully highlighted a glaring contrast between the leadership qualities of the two candidates, conservatives, though encouraged by the direct answers McCain gave to issues of great importance to them, were still worried. Rumors have been floating around ever since that a pro-choice VP pick was not "off the table", and with names like Ridge and Lieberman also being mentioned, there was palpable fear the base would be completely abandoned in foolish pursuit of the supposed "moderates." (By the way - how do you appeal to a swath of voters who don't seem to believe strongly in any ideology? Sounds like trying to "herd cats".)

Today was a brand new day, though. Choosing Sarah Palin as his VP running mate, was the kind of bold move that can seriously alter the script of the campaign this fall. Though an unknown to most outside of the ranks of conservative news addicts like myself, I have been introduced, and subsequently impressed with her over the past year, as she's given birth to her fifth child, and approved the construction of a new natural gas pipe line, which has afforded her some national recognition. She was mentioned as a possible VP selection many months ago, though no one seemed to give it much more than a passing note.

She was a brilliant choice for several reasons. First off, agree or disagree with her ideology, she has character and integrity, calling out her own party members on wasteful government and questionable ethics. She is very down-to-earth and easy for most Americans to relate to. She is attractive and well-spoken; friendly and engaging. Ideologically, she is very conservative, trying to make her state more self-reliant; contributing more to the nation economically than they take in government aid. She is a life-long NRA member. She is staunchly pro-life, and certainly family-oriented, living out the values she espouses. The fact that she is a woman in the historical context of this campaign, is really only the icing on the cake.

For former supporters of both Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee, she offers the executive experience of a governor, and the pro-business economic and social conservative bona fides that were so important, without the hard feelings supporters of either candidate might harbor for the other.

This choice only makes McCain, whom the Democrats have tried to characterize as the "third Bush term", and as old, out of touch, and no longer with the "maverick" edge that has defined him for so many years, look simply brilliant. Sarah Palin is not a "go along, to get along" type of politician, reassuring voters that she will not simply be a window dressing yes-woman. I can't imagine a more "maverick" choice in it's unpredictability. Her youth and down-to-earth personality balance out his age and cultural downsides. She couldn't be much farther outside the beltway, balancing out his lengthy legislative association.

What a way to reenergize the base, and suck all the air out of the post-DNC news cycle. What a grand slam!

Wednesday, August 27, 2008

Redemption

Though much belated, Rush Limbaugh finally accepted former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee on his program today to mend fences, and resolve some misunderstandings. Frankly, Rush's mischaracterizations of Huckabee's opposition to Mitt Romney's candidacy for the Republican presidential nomination have long been a point of contention for me towards what I otherwise believe to be a fairly "spot on" daily analysis on his radio program. It has irked me for months that neither he, nor any of the other nationally syndicated talk hosts like Sean Hannity and Laura Ingraham, as well as National Review editor Rich Lowry, acknowledged the recent change in positions of former Governor Romney, and instead chose to characterize him as a victim of religious discrimination when he failed to secure the nomination. Governor Huckabee and his supporters were dismissed as religious zealots, out of touch with the mainstream of the Republican party.

To Huckabee's credit, he has never lashed out bitterly at his detractors, or criticized their lack of support and mischaracterizations of him. He has instead kept on plugging ahead, focused on the goals he based his campaign on, and patiently waiting for his critics to acknowledge the truth.

That patience was rewarded today, as Huckabee was finally granted his first appearance on Rush's show since the primaries. Since it is rare that Rush ever has a guest on, this appearance should be that much more meaningful. Governor Huckabee was finally able to have a conversation with Rush that allowed him to set the record straight - about the questions he had about the character and integrity of Mitt Romney, not his religion; as well as the deal that was made in West Virginia, whereby Ron Paul's supporters threw their votes to Huckabee on the final ballot to give him the win over Romney. To my ear, Rush treated the governor with respect, asking him thoughtful questions that he himself has been contemplating out loud for the past couple days, looking for Huckabee's own incite; such as if there's any contingency at the convention should a hurricane strike New Orleans while it's under way, to which the governor gave a classic, humorous response: "They'll send Pat Robertson down there to pray it off the coast" (a poking reference to Fidel Castro's "supernatural" claims).

It was certainly a moment that long time fans of Rush, and big fans of Gov. Huckabee have long been hoping and waiting for. Let's hope that the fence-mending continues!

Friday, July 11, 2008

Historical Perspective

Part of "checking the mirrors" in life requires studying history to gain perspective on present circumstances. While my own writing has been scarce lately, I'd like to take the opportunity to share a recent column by Patrick J. Buchanan that I feel is both appropriate and relevant to this blog. If you didn't catch it July 4th, here it is:

The Loss of Independence:By Patrick J. Buchanan, July 4, 2008
http://www.humanevents.com/article.php?id=27360

"Not until a year after Lexington did the Continental Congress muster the resolveto declare the 13 colonies free and independent states, no longer subject toParliament or Crown.
Not for five years after July 4, 1776, did George Washington's army truly attainAmerica's independence at Yorktown.

Even then, Washington and his aide Alexander Hamilton knew that the 13 states,while politically independent, were dependent upon Europe for the necessities oftheir national life. Without French ships and guns, French muskets and troops,the Americans could not have forced Gen. Cornwallis' surrender at Yorktown.

Cornwallis would have sailed away, as Gen. Howe had from Boston.

Indeed, absent the 1778 alliance with France, our Revolution would have been alonger bloodier affair and might not have succeeded.

At the Constitutional Convention of 1787, both Washington and Hamilton weredetermined to make America's political independence permanent, and to begin tocut the umbilical cord to Europe.

In the Constitution that came out of that convention, the states were prohibitedfrom imposing any tariffs on the products of other states, thus creating thegreatest common market in history, the United States of America. Second, theU.S. government was empowered to raise revenue by imposing tariffs on foreigngoods, but explicitly denied the power to impose taxes on the incomes ofAmerican citizens.

And as Hamilton set the nation onto a course that would ensure economicindependence, Washington took the actions and made the decisions that wouldassure our political independence.

First, he declared neutrality in the European wars that followed the FrenchRevolution of 1789. Second, he sought to sever the 1778 alliance with France, afeat achieved by his successor, John Adams.

Third, in his Farewell Address, the greatest state paper in U.S. history,Washington admonished his countrymen to steer clear of permanent alliances andto stay out of Europe's wars. Rarely in the 19th century did the United Statesdivert from the course set by Washington and Hamilton.
In 1812, however, James Madison, goaded by "war hawks" Henry Clay and JohnCalhoun, and ignoring the counsel of the Farewell Address, declared war onBritain and came near to seeing his nation torn apart.

Had it not been for the Duke of Wellington's preoccupation with Napoleon andAndy Jackson's rout of a British invasion army at New Orleans, America mighthave been split asunder. In 1814, New England was on the verge of seceding, andthe British had in mind splitting off the vast Louisiana territory. As it was,Madison had to flee the Washington, when a British Army came up the BladensburgRoad to burn the Capitol and Madison's White House.

After peace in 1815, however, Madison signed the Tariff Act of 1816 to preventBritish merchants from dumping goods into the United States to kill America'sinfant industries that had arisen during the war and to prevent Britishmerchants from recapturing the U.S. markets they had lost.

For most of the 19th century, the nation followed the economic policy ofHamilton and the foreign policy of Washington -- and was richly rewarded. By thefirst decade of the 20th century, America was the most independent andself-reliant republic in all of history.

And by staying out of two world wars of the 20th century until many of thebloodiest battles had been fought, America emerged in 1945 economically andpolitically independent of all other nations.

During the Cold War, however, Americans came to believe that a temporaryalliance, NATO, was necessary to prevent Joseph Stalin's empire from overrunningEurope and turning the balance of power against us. To help our wartime alliesand former enemies Japan, Germany and Italy to their feet, we set asideHamilton's policy and threw open the American market to the goods of Free Europeand Free Asia.

These should have been temporary alliances and temporary measures. Instead, theywere made permanent.

No longer free of foreign entanglements, as Thomas Jefferson urged, we now havecommitments to defend 50 countries. The old Hamiltonian policy of "ProsperAmerica First" has given way to worship of a Global Economy, at whose altars wesacrifice daily the vital interests of our own manufacturers and workers.

"Interdependence" is now the desired end of the new elite.

And so we have become again a dependent nation. We borrow from Europe and Japanto defend the oil of Europe and Japan in the Persian Gulf. We borrow from Chinato buy the goods of China. We are as dependent on foreign borrowing as we are onforeign oil.

And the questions arise: If the men of '76, who led those small and vulnerablestates, were willing to sacrifice their lives, fortunes and sacred honor forAmerica's independence, what is the matter with us?

Do we not value independence as they did? Or is it that we are simply not themen our fathers were?"

Couldn't have said it better myself - MWG

Wednesday, May 28, 2008

Which way forward for conservatives?

There seems to be a great deal of angst among conservatives right now. It seems every day I hear another call in to Glenn's, Rush's, or Sean's talk shows asking for advice on the clear way forward for the conservative movement. The situation is clear - without a truly conservative candidate as the nominee of either major political party for the presidency, a congressional delegation that just doesn't seem to get it, and the loss of what have been historically staunch Republican seats in that body, the future certainly looks grim.

Isn't it amazing how much different things can look after a decade? Why it seems like only yesterday that the Democrat's were dealt a stinging defeat in the 2002 mid-terms that seemed to spell the defeat of the Democrat Party itself. Then came the triumphant defeat of John Kerry in 2004, accompanied by a victory for the defense of the definition of marriage. My how the Republicans have snatched defeat from the jaws of victory!

Indeed, it's hard for conservative principles to shine like "the latest thing"- that is, until having to live several years under the malaise of misguided liberal policies. Then, it seems, every politician wants to be called a "conservative", and take advantage of the ill will of the electorate towards their political opponents.

Right now, of course, the dynamic seems to have shifted in the other direction, with the electorate early on throwing their support behind an untested candidate lacking any significant managerial experience, or much less specific experience for that matter, only reconsidering when it was too late. Perhaps that's our glimmer of hope, not that it shines very brightly.

I don't think that America has completely lost it's way. I don't believe that the conservative movement is dead yet. The majority of the Republican party still supported the conservative primary candidates in overwhelming majorities over John McCain, divided as they were among who that leading conservative candidate should be. Even among the Democrats, especially after the success of Operation Chaos, large numbers in the later states shifted heavily away from the more radical candidate, to Hillary Clinton, who, and I can't believe I'm saying this, was the more traditional, mainstream candidate.

So let's not lose heart. Our principles are grounded firmly in history, in economics, and frankly, in the Truth. It's not our principles that have failed. It was the failure to stand firmly upon those principles, forsaking popularity in the press, avoiding the tempting lure to be part of the "cutting edge" of new and "progressive" government programs designed to pander to specific influential voting blocs that would ensure re-election, and more influence.

We must instead nominate candidates who not only claim to share our ideals, but have some experience in working to defend them, finding new ways to expose their relevance in our communities and society. The temptation to compromise our principles away is very powerful, as has been made glaringly evident over the past decade. I have watched Republicans win powerful majorities both in state governments and in the Congress, only to betray their principles for short-sighted appeasement, and lose the faith of their once passionately loyal constituency. Yes, we were right after all, character really does matter.

So I exhort you conservatives; do not let your shoulders fall; do not let defeat creep into your psyche; do not give into the temptation to concede ground to your ideological opponents. Their are good conservative men raising their profiles on the field of political battle right now. Men of character like Governor Mike Huckabee, Governor Sarah Palin, Governor Bobby Jindal, and Ken Blackwell, just to name a few. These are men and women whose belief in conservatism has been tried over and again, and reinforced by success. They are standing up to adversity, inviting it some cases, and moving the ball forward.

So find that local candidate who shows promise, and get behind them. Or if you think you've got what it takes, step out into the fray yourselves. But never, never lose heart.

Thursday, May 22, 2008

Who layed out this primary route?

If I hadn't seen this presidential election unfold myself, I would barely believe the progress so far.

In a wide open election year, where the Democrat Party seems to have such a clear path to victory, things don't seem to have gone as planned. Not that the Republicans have faired much better.

Neither party (at least at this point) is poised to nominate a candidate which their most loyal political base of voters would prefer. On the Republican side, John McCain is seen as more of a traitor than a friend in conservative circles, regardless of the contrast between himself and the candidates the Democrats are running. Beyond his firm stance with regard to the war in Iraq, there's not much to get excited about, considering his support for the global warmist hoax through "cap and trade" policies, among other questionable economic proposals. In fact, here on the homefront, his presidency might do more harm to our economy and individual liberty than Bush's governmental expansions. Even where there is shared ideological common ground, there is a lack of measurable active support for issues which most conservatives take very seriously.

On the other side of the spectrum, Hillary Clinton, who is leading in the popular vote tally, and has also won majorities of delegates in states like California, New York, Pennsylvania, Massachusetts, which are populated by the most loyal base of the Democrat Party, appears to be on the losing side of the nominating process to an inexperienced, 1st term US Senator, with serious, though late-discovered, flaws. Though neither has conceded, if as predicted, Sen. Obama secures the nomination, it's going to be a very interesting general election race.

Pundits on both sides are really trumpeting the notion that the base on either side will come out to support their parties' respective candidates, regardless of the fact that they did not do so in the primary, simply to keep the other side from winning.

Truthfully, while the purported policy positions of Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton do not differ significantly from one another, and therefore do not create an ideological divide that is insurmountable for opposition voters, on the Republican side, the divide is a deep chasm that John McCain will have to bridge.

Once Obama has the opportunity to restate his policy positions, which he will point out, is ultimately what is being voted on, perhaps questions about his personal ideology, which came to the forefront through the Jeremiah Wright affair will get glossed over in many Democrat minds. While it is true that Obama lacks the experience to manage such an unwieldy bureacracy as the federal government, and implement his policies effectively, his oratory skill gives him significant advantage in the perception department.

Unfortunately, I think, rather than focusing on the strengths of their candidate, the Republican party will try to energize their conservative base by turning the focus of attention on the weaknesses of their opposition. This has not necessarily been shown to be a winning strategy, unless a major outright disqualification can be demonstrated - the difficulty of such a task having been demonstrated in Bill Clinton's second term election.

So, even though neither party's base seems to be to happy with their nominee at this point; the distance of the ideological divide those nominees must bridge to win back that base, just may be the difference in November.

Tuesday, April 29, 2008

What's up with gas prices?

Everyone (except people like my wife who drive company cars, and have their gas paid for) is feeling the hit to their wallet coming from the ever increasing cost of gasoline. The prices we see now were unimaginable for most of us several years ago, and frankly, it's a shock that's felt everytime I fill up. It's understandable to start feeling bitter, especially when the rise in fuel costs is far outpacing the rise in household earnings.

Since it is the aim of this blog to avoid knee-jerk reactions, let's see if we can sort out the reasons why prices are climbing so quickly. It's a laundry list; and in no particular order:

- the value of the dollar is plummeting relative to other world currency
- more people across the world than ever are starting to drive
- Middle East production is near maxed out
- no new refineries being built in the U.S. - production maxed out; upkeep of current plants is expensive.
- refineries must produce different "mixes" for different regions, limiting capacity and flexibility.

Unless you haven't watched TV news, or read a news article in the last year or so (unlikely if you're reading this blog), you realize there is a credit "crisis" in this country tied to subprime mortgages, and their portion of various investment portfolios belonging to banks and other financial institutions. The amount of money the U.S. is borrowing, and our ability to pay back those loans plays a large factor in the value of our currency, which is no longer backed by a solid asset like gold. The credit crisis is forcing us to borrow more foreign money, and lower interest rates, two factors leading to our currency losing value in foreign markets. In fact, some foreign markets are refusing to accept dollars, which are losing value rapidly, and instead are requesting payment in Euros, which are currently more stable.

One of those markets is the oil market. Whereas the dollar used to be the standard by which oil prices were measured around the world; because of its recent rapid decline in value, this is no longer the case. Since the dollar is valued less, it therefore can purchase less oil. That is why a barrel of oil cost $50 dollars not that long ago, but today that same barrel costs over $100. It's not that the value of the barrel of oil has increased that significantly, it's that the value of the currency used to purchase it has decreased. This may be the most important factor affecting gas prices.

Something else to consider is increased demand around the world. While most Americans seem to be insulated from news in other parts of the world (we can thank our standard media for that), nations like India, and China, along with other Asian countries, have been rapidly building modern industrial/manufacturing complexes. An acquaintance of mine reported upon his return from a recent trip his amazement at a factory he had witnessed in China. Having expected to see the equivalent of thousands of sweat-shop laborers manually producing parts as cheaply as possible in some dark and dreary factory, he was instead surprised to see a brand new, clean, and thoroughly modern manufacturing center, with production robots, and a few skilled laborers. Now think about how many products we purchase that are manufactured overseas. You're starting to get the picture?

All that production is increasing the standard of living in many of these previously "developing" countries, and their citizens are demanding more modern convenienes to go along. Automobiles, whose manufacturing process is based on the Japanese model, are now being produced in record numbers in places like India and China, for their native populations. GM, and other major automotive manufacturers, like Volkswagen, are pouring major investment dollars into these markets, viewing them as the next great frontier, upon which their future survival and success depends. And what is powering all these new cars? That's right - gasoline. As the two most populous nations start driving, demand for oil will increase exponentially.

As it is, however, there are reports that production is near maxed out in the Middle East, and in other regions. They can't pull the oil out of the ground any faster. If production can't be increased significantly, but demand rises significantly, prices are sure to follow that demand.

Here in the U.S., we're not doing much to help ourselves. A new refinery hasn't been built in ages, and the existing plants are struggling under the weight of aging systems, technology, and regulation. Not only that, but those plants must produce different fuel combinations for different regions, seriously limiting market flexibility here at home. That's one of the reasons gas prices in California outpace those in Iowa. There are many other factors, which are too complicated to give proper treatment to here, such as the effects of ethanol, and taxes, which also play a significant role.

Bottom line, gas prices aren't going to come down anytime soon, and even worse, probably won't even stabilize for a while. Yes, with expanding markets for the oil companies, allowing them to sell more fuel to more people than ever before; even if they lowered their profit margins - their overall profitability would surely increase, just due to increased sales volume. And so they will reap record profits. That's how capitalism works.

Americans need to wake up to the fact that we are no longer the only consumers of technology and convenience in the world anymore; and that with demand for the finer things in life across the planet, we are going to have to work harder, and become more competitive in order to maintain our standard of living. To stay ahead, we cannot rest on our past success in a mire of complacency, but must develop new fuels, and new sources of energy to propel us forward. We must find a new manufacturing base, for without that valuable developmental environment, we lose the human resources that emerge from its ranks, its springboard of invention and innovation, and the skills that bring them forth. We need to rediscover the building blocks upon which we achieved our prominent position on the world stage.

Wednesday, April 16, 2008

Continuing the Healthcare Conversation

In the last rather lengthy installment, I talked about what I think are the problems with our current healthcare system. Namely, limited employer-sponsored plans; which limit market forces on the insurance companies; are especially burdensome on employers; and while offering limited coverage for routine medical expenses to the insured, resulting in an increased amount of claims, often fail to protect them from catastrophic medical events. A further burden on the system is unregulated litigation, which has made risk unpredictable, and therefore results in artificially high malpractice insurance rates, along with related increases in diagnostic evaluations and administrative record keeping, in order to protect caregivers.

The end result is a system that can't get out of it's own way. Insurers do a poor job of providing protection. Employers feel an escalating burden from their healthcare obligations. Doctors are being hit even harder; increased risk to their livelihood, combined with decreased financial incentive from educational, insurance, and administrative cost escalation, is pushing physicians out of fields they are otherwise inclined to, or forcing them to abandon their practice altogether. So where does that leave the patients? We are left with fewer choices about our coverage, trapped with an employer to maintain coverage, fewer available physicians to treat us, and the serious risk of financial ruin if we get sick. Seems to me, the only group making out in all this is...the lawyers. Didn't John Edwards just build himself a 20,000 sq.ft. mansion? No wonder he feels so guilty about "two Americas".

So how do we get out of this? It is somewhat understandable that many doctors, who feel that they have been yolked with an unfair amount of the burden (which they have), would prefer a single payor, "universal healthcare" system administered by the government, as it would lift much of the insurance and administrative burdens off of their shoulders, and redistribute it among the population (through the form of much higher taxes), as would some overstretched employers currently trying to keep their heads above water. However, that is a particularly short-sighted view, since, instead of paying higher rates to insurers and office personnel in order to administer the programs, that money will instead be fed to the government and its bureaucrats at higher and higher rates every year. Anybody who thinks the government is going to manage that money wisely to sustain the program, must be living under a rock, and have never heard of that great government program called S o c i a l S e c u r i t y. Nevermind the fact that, while we are not all doctors, or employers, we are all patients at various points in our life, and such a federally administered system will certainly not improve our healthcare, but more likely, make it much worse. No, "universal healthcare" is not the answer.

Instead, I think we should take a serious look at a two-pronged approach. First, health insurance policies must become like life, home, and auto policies - written for, and paid by, the individual. If my employer wants to offer me a health benefit, or otherwise, an incentive, to carry adequate health insurance, then that employer should be able to offer an untaxed amount of their choosing, say for example, up to $300 per month, towards my health insurance premiums. Therefore, regardless of the claims one employee makes relative to another (which is none of the employers business anyway), their contributed benefit remains under their control. Just like many employers offer a contribution towards an employees personal mobile phone at a "to not exceed" rate, rather than paying for the service in full and trying to limit it's useage, this approach would work in much the same way.

The second part to this approach, untaxed medical savings accounts, must also be greatly expanded. By building up an account, moving in a direction towards being self-insured, we become less beholden to our insurers, and gain even greater freedom over our own healtcare, or the care of our families. Again, it should also be available to employers who would like to offer a health benefit - to make a matching contribution, or a contribution of their own denomination, tax-free, to their employees accounts, if they so choose.

The approach I'm describing works much the same way any other insurance does. If a person limits their risky behavior, they are rewarded with lower rates. Eating healthy, exercising, and getting enough sleep, in other words; living cleanly, will have its rewards. If however, you still get sick, your insurance company will provide coverage to rescue you from financial disaster. Also, routine medical expenses such as checkups and prescriptions would be paid out of pocket, much as one pays for gas, oil changes, and tires on their car, which will inevitably result in much more competitive rates for these health services and prescriptions. This will result in a significantly lowered administrative burden on physicians, who will have less paperwork to process with insurance companies, as well as give them more freedom to run their practices as they see fit, being dictated to much less by those same insurance companies.

That is of course, if we decide to enact effective tort reform at the same time. The effect of this reform cannot be underestimated, as it would have the most dramatic result of all in reducing the cost of healthcare, and increasing its quality. A dramatic reduction in unnecessary procedures and tests would be one such contribution; cutting costs dramatically, and giving doctors more diagnostic authority. Insurance premiums for doctors could be reduced significantly, offering an incentive for certain practitioners, especially Ob/Gyns to return to practice. And, there should be less litigation, as the incentive to sue will have been reduced.

How we get from where we are, to where we need to be, will be difficult, and if our nation can't be convinced in a great enough majority, it may be impossible. Political opponents on the left need this to continue as a hot button issue in order to achieve their goal of a "universal" government run healthcare program. As conservatives, we must start talking about this issue, and about positive solutions to the problem, because right now the Left seems to own the issue. We must show that we are not the party of the "status quo", but that we have great ideas to reform our systems, and improve the lives of citizens. What do you think?

Sunday, April 6, 2008

Let's Talk Healthcare

Supposedly our healthcare industry is going to be a major issue in the upcoming election cycle. I say "supposedly", because other than the initial (and predictable) pledges from the Democrats running to provide alleged "universal healthcare" through the already bloated and broke federal government, not much has really been discussed. From what information I can gather, both the Democrat Party candidates are offering a system that is pretty much the same as the one provided today, with a  couple significant exceptions. Rather than private insurance underwriters placing limits on coverage, the tax burden on our shoulders will have to increase to support new wider limits. And who will decide those limits? Politicians looking to pander to this group, or that, in order to win re-election, or some other political prize. Won't that be lovely? Then we can look forward to the threat of an ever-expanding federal healthcare bureaucracy every election cycle, and a growing sucking sound on our wallets to support it. And in the end, we'll still be just as dissatisfied (or more so) with our healthcare.

Unfortunately, the political party I more closely associate myself with doesn't seem to want to engage the voters on the issue at all, unless I'm missing something. Alright, maybe they're whispering. Maybe they've got a secret plan so wonderful, it'll just sink the Democrat competition when they release it this fall. Then again, maybe not. So I'm going to throw a few ideas out there, and would love to hear what my fellow citizens think.

A Little History
The history of healthcare as I understand it, is that many years ago, when you got sick, or were due for a regular checkup, the doctor either visited you, or vice versa, and was paid directly for their services. If it was serious, you visited a hospital (often established and sponsored by Christian denominations as a charitable outreach) where there was more specialized care, and equipment. Health insurance was paid for like automobile or life insurance, by the individual or head of household, and was meant to cover only unexpected and financially catastrophic medical expenses. Sounds pretty good so far.

Then, at some point, large (and of course,...evil) corporations, looking to ensure a more reliable workforce, with fewer missed days due to illness, offered to provide limited health services and some insurance to their blue-collar employees, who often couldn't afford to pay for their own healthcare expenses. This practice might have become even more attractive following the return of soldiers from the WWII, who had probably been provided comprehensive health services while serving.

As corporations competed for the best workers, they started offering greater benefits packages including retirement, expanded healthcare coverage and the like, until insurance companies, seeing a growing demand, started offering packages for smaller employers. Eventually the market expanded to serve even small businesses, until healthcare insurance benefits became a standard part of the job offer package as they are today. 

The Problem
In the process, we, as individuals, by accepting the offer of a third party to bear the brunt of our healthcare burden, have subsequently lost control over our healthcare choices. What originally had been a real benefit, has now become a chain around our necks. We are now in a situation where insurance companies, for the most part, have found themselves insulated from market forces exacted by direct consumer satisfaction, and now primarily deal with intermediaries whose main concern is holding onto the bottom line. These intermediaries, our employers, then must choose the least expensive policies they can for their employees, often resulting in less adequate coverage as the costs of coverage continue to multiply.

So let's talk about why those costs continue to multiply every year.

A major problem, is that without the healthcare consumer bearing the brunt of the insurance and healthcare costs, that consumer has lost sight of what those costs really are. Healthcare insurance after all, works just like every other kind of insurance paid for by the consumer; the more, and more expensive the claims made against a policy, the higher the rates climb. After all, insurance companies don't make money by paying out claims - they make money by not having to pay out, or by denying claims against their policies. While insurance companies market themselves to the consumer as "the company that's going to be there for you when you encounter hardship", they employee thousands of underwriters doing their best to calculate the risk of actually having to do so, and charging you a high enough rate to offset that statistical risk.

Ironically, by reducing the co-pay amounts paid by the healthcare consumer, making services more affordable under the theory that regular preventative visits will curb treatment costs down the road; instead - consumers tend toward utilizing those services more often, resulting in a substantial increase in the number of claims against health insurance policies when they do. This trend of increased claims has invited insurance companies to, in turn, raise their rates to compensate. Unlike with their other insurance policies, however, the consumer does not necessarily feel the impact of the rate increase on their wallet the next month; instead, that hit is absorbed by their employer who's caught in the middle. The employer, concerned with retention and recruitment, must offer a health benefit package that is competitive. However, the insurance companies they must carry policies with, in order to offer such a benefit, continue to institute continual, and substantial rate increases on those policies, cutting into the employer's profitability, or forcing them to downgrade to cheaper policies that offer less coverage, which can affect retention. It's a Catch-22.

The end result, is that this current system is hurting just about everybody; doctors, patients, their employers, and yes, even the insurance companies. Everybody that is, except perhaps, the trial lawyers. 

Consider how things have changed for doctors. In the old days, the doctor performed a service, and was paid directly. Now a doctor, prior to performing a service, must verify insurance, determine the co-pay required of the patient, and in many cases, the patient must obtain pre-authorization from their insurance carrier for coverage of those services. Once coverage is verified, before deciding on treatment, the doctor must understand what treatments are covered by that carrier, or if that carrier's level of coverage is adequate to proceed. Then once treatment is performed, the doctor must submit a request for payment, and process the correct paperwork, according to insurance company guidelines, in order to receive payment in full. If any of the above is not completed correctly, the physician risks non-payment in full or in part. Imagine the administrative burden this adds to the process, nevermind the cost associated with hiring quality people to ensure its proper completion.

But wait, there's more. With increased documentation, comes increased ease of litigation. With so much documentation available, it doesn't take as much effort for lawyers to determine whether they have a case or not. After all, all it takes is a mistake on the paperwork; a documented procedural error, or even clerical error, to invite a lawsuit in today's litigious society. Without limits on the amount of money that can be rewarded to the plaintiff, which might affect the amount of lawsuits brought every year, insurance companies have found it nearly impossible to assess risk in such an unpredictable environment, and therefore, are forced to set artificially high rates for malpractice insurance, or risk unacceptable losses. Even so, insurers still face considerable risk of loss.

With the high cost of medical school education, the risk to their livelihoods from malpractice, or to the profitability of their practices from unresolved patient bills, insurance rates, insurance payouts, and increasing administrative costs; many fields especially vulnerable to these forces are shrinking rapidly, or being extinguished completely in some areas. For the healthcare consumer (translate: me and you) this means more scarce, and therefore, lower quality care, than was previously available.

Speaking of the consumer, we are now in a position where, with the exception of the independently wealthy among us (kudos to them), we are now forced to accept one of several inferior health insurance plans offered to us through our employer (who can barely afford them). These policies, until we get really sick, don't seem so bad (as they tend to offer attractive basic health services like low pharmaceutical and scheduled visit co-pay rates) , but fail to protect from financial ruin in the event of a medical catastrophe, which is what insurance was supposed to guard against in the first place, right? Furthermore, the rarer the illness we face, or the more specialized care required, it seems, the less coverage we can expect to receive. And lest we forget, there's always the "pre-existing condition".

Where To Now?
So, the question facing us now is,"How can we break the cycle?" Universal healthcare, as previously discussed, doesn't solve any of these problems, but simply shifts the financial burden to taxpayers, and will encourage politicians to forever "tweak" the system as they pander to one group or the other, inevitably resulting in more regulation, bogging the system down even more with administrative requirements (think IRS - a multi-billion dollar industry exists mainly to avoid audit or penalty from this government bureaucracy, instituted to collect an income tax - but that's for another article). Instead, we must find a way to restore market forces to the healthcare equation. Consumers need to once again be made directly aware of the costs of healthcare (and therefore, the costs of risky behavior or unhealthy living). Insurance claims need to once again be reserved for catastrophic protection, not for the basic visits and prescriptions. Tort reform must be enacted in order to limit, and make more predictable, the risk to both doctors and their insurers. Employers need to be removed from the equation all together.

How we go about accomplishing this, should certainly be a continuing conversation, but I plan on offering some ideas that I think make sense next week. To be continued...







Sunday, March 30, 2008

Checking the mirrors

One of my pet peeves while driving (where I spend plenty of time every week), is the failure of drivers around me to signal, or worse, check their mirrors before they change lanes or make a turn. It's almost as if, as soon as the thought entered their head, they immediately decided to make a move, without any consideration for the impact (literally) on those around them, and to the danger posed, even to themselves. 

To my eye it seems, this short sighted decision making, without consideration of potentially immediate and long-term consequences to ourselves and others is a recurring fault in human nature, and as such, afflicts our government as well. 

Each election cycle it seems, the strategy of most politicians is attempt to portray themselves as brokers of change, promising to improve our standard of living, and bring justice to the ills of our society. Only once elected, they carry on business as usual, putting their own self-interests and re-election prospects ahead of the best interests of our nation. Simply take a look at the Republicans who regained a majority in Congress on the tails of the Contract with America in the mid-nineties, only to betray the principles upon which they were elected by letting spending spiral out of control, and failing to achieve many of the goals promised to their constituents.

Here we are again, in another election cycle, this time with the Presidency once again at stake, and with it, the direction of this nation of ours. There is a great deal of unrest among the electorate, demonstrated in the divisions among the two major political parties. The Republican conservative base was so divided early in the primary season, that now the party has as its nominee, a candidate who won the nomination with at best, 30% of the party's support, mostly coming from moderates and independents with little steadfast commitment to the Republican platform. Meanwhile, on the Democrat Party side, the two largest factions of the base - the blue collar labor Democrats, risk losing control of the party officially, to the even farther left "moonbat" (as a certain Boston radio host so fondly refers to them) wing of the party, which seems to have little regard for the traditions and founding principles of our nation, even to the point some might say, they have little regard for the nation at all.

Being in such a precarious position, perhaps there would be serious discussion of how we've gotten here, and what the correct pathway  forward would be. Perhaps there would be some serious discussion of issues that affect the lives of the majority of Americans, and solutions being proposed that might actually bring about a real improvement. Instead, they're debating what seem to me to be long settled issues (for most) of race, gender, and age. The search for scandal and dealings of questionable ethics continue, though the question of real character itself is often avoided. And the press seems completely complicit with the candidates, always willing to entertain whatever little implications the campaigns put out, never asking the tough questions, and sometimes fawning over the aura of possibility surrounding a speech. I believe the word for all this is "bickering".

So, if the candidates themselves don't want to, and the press isn't going to do their job and make them; then it is up to us, the electorate - the people who will ultimately have to foot the bill, and have our children sacrifice their lives, to discuss the issues. And frankly if we don't - if we're too busy with what's directly in front of our own windshields, to check the mirrors before following our leaders into a new lane, or checking to see where we've been and what's about to overtake us, then we are ultimately responsible for what happens down the road.